Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Astana 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kuat I.
11' Event
Lavrenyuk K.
25' Event
Flyuk S.

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar Bulat in this First Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhtar Bulat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FC Astana 2
20%
Draws
10%
Shakhtar Bulat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • FC Astana 2 have won more games recently than Shakhtar Bulat.
  • Win probability leans FC Astana 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Shakhtar Bulat
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
3:4
May 22, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs FC Astana 2
2:4
Aug 24, 2020 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
0:0
May 17, 2020 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs FC Astana 2
0:0
Aug 24, 2019 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuat I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shurahanov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavrenyuk K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flyuk S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 84 / 100
Shakhtar Bulat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Shakhtar Bulat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shakhtar Bulat conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

FC Astana 2 scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Astana 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana 2

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 8

Shakhtar Bulat

(Away)
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
28 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
0 : 1
Zhenis
22 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
16 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
2 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
09 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)