Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Astana 2 vs Taraz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kaltanov A.
Assist: Tokenov T.
43' Event
Serikov N.
Assist: Kaltanov A.
87' Event
Tolendi A.
Assist: Valikhan R.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between FC Astana 2 and Taraz finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
FC Astana 2
35%
Draws
30%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FC Astana 2's 1.72 goals per match outpaces what Taraz have produced (1.37).
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on FC Astana 2 taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Taraz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Taraz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.72 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Taraz
4:0
Jun 11, 2026 First League
Taraz vs FC Astana 2
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Taraz
2:3
Jun 30, 2023 First League
Taraz vs FC Astana 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltanov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serikov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Taraz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 47 / 100
Taraz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taraz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FC Astana 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: FC Astana 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS Taraz
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

Taraz

(Away)
09 Oct
Taraz
1 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)