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FC Astana vs Ulytau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena, Astana
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Basmanov S.
23' Event
Karimov R.
Assist: Abrayev M.
31'
Karaman D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FC Astana and Ulytau finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FC Astana
20%
Draws
23%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Astana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Astana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Astana here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 19%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana Ulytau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs FC Astana
0:2
May 22, 2026 Premier League
FC Astana vs Ulytau
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
FC Astana vs Ulytau
4:0
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs FC Astana
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana Compare

Top Goalscorer Karimov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Basmanov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ulytau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 85 / 100
Ulytau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana Ulytau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Ulytau has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

FC Astana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana VS Ulytau
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0
Yelimay Semey
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3
FC Astana
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
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Ulytau

(Away)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)