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FC Astana vs Ulytau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Basmanov S.
23' Event
Karimov R.
Assist: Abrayev M.
31'
Karaman D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FC Astana and Ulytau finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Astana
39%
Draws
31%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Astana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Astana here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 20%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana Ulytau
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premier League
FC Astana vs Ulytau
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
FC Astana vs Ulytau
4:0
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs FC Astana
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana Compare

Top Goalscorer Karimov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Basmanov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ulytau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 31 / 100
Ulytau 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana Ulytau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Ulytau has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Astana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana VS Ulytau
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211