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FC Bacau 2 vs Ceahlaul

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1
Wed, Sep 23, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Bacau 2 host Ceahlaul in the Liga 3 - Seria 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. FC Bacau 2 have averaged 1.46 scored and 2.14 conceded recently, against Ceahlaul's 0.87 scored and 2.23 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.25, favoring FC Bacau 2. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Bacau 2
15%
Draws
0%
Ceahlaul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Bacau 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ceahlaul haven't matched FC Bacau 2's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FC Bacau 2 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Bacau 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Bacau 2 Ceahlaul
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.46 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Bacau 2 85 / 100
Ceahlaul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Bacau 2 Ceahlaul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Bacau 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceahlaul let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Ceahlaul's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Bacau 2 scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

FC Bacau 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Bacau 2 VS Ceahlaul
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Bacau 2

(Home)
11 Sept
FC Bacau 2
3 : 2
Viitorul Onesti
05 Sept
Targu Secuiesc
2 : 2
FC Bacau 2
28 Aug
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0
CSM Pascani
16 May
ACS USV Iasi
2 : 1
FC Bacau 2
08 May
FC Bacau 2
1 : 2
Adjud
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Ceahlaul

(Away)
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
05 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 4
Bradul Putna
29 Aug
Viitorul Onesti
5 : 0
Ceahlaul
05 Aug
VSK Gyergyo
5 : 0
Ceahlaul
09 May
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Metalul Buzau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Vaslui 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 FC Bacau 2 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Adjud 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 ACS USV Iasi 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
5 Odorheiu 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Viitorul Onesti 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
7 Bradul Putna 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
8 VSK Gyergyo 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
9 Aerostar 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
10 Targu Secuiesc 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
11 CSM Pascani 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
12 Ceahlaul 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 (Relegation Group)