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FC Barreirense vs Estrela da Amadora B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Otavio
27'
Otavio
40' Event
Balburdia S. A. A. A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 game between FC Barreirense and Estrela da Amadora B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Barreirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Barreirense
35%
Draws
32%
Estrela da Amadora B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • FC Barreirense haven't matched Estrela da Amadora B's recent run of results.
  • FC Barreirense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
FC Barreirense Clean Sheet 68%
Estrela da Amadora B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Barreirense Estrela da Amadora B
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Barreirense vs Estrela da Amadora B
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Estrela da Amadora B vs FC Barreirense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Barreirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caeiro H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Estrela da Amadora B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Barreirense 59 / 100
Estrela da Amadora B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Barreirense Estrela da Amadora B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Barreirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Barreirense scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Estrela da Amadora B let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

FC Barreirense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Barreirense VS Estrela da Amadora B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Barreirense

(Home)
13 Apr
FC Barreirense
1 : 2
Moncarapachense
06 Apr
Amora
1 : 0
FC Barreirense
29 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
2 : 3
FC Barreirense
16 Mar
FC Barreirense
1 : 1
Lagoa
09 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 1
FC Barreirense
Page 1 of 6

Estrela da Amadora B

(Away)
13 Apr
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
Estrela da Amadora B
06 Apr
Estrela da Amadora B
2 : 3
Serpa
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
15 Mar
Estrela da Amadora B
0 : 2
Amora
08 Mar
Lagoa
0 : 0
Estrela da Amadora B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)