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FC Bhayangkara vs PSIM Yogyakarta

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Sumpah Pemuda
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Bhayangkara play PSIM Yogyakarta in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Bhayangkara averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. PSIM Yogyakarta averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, FC Bhayangkara won 2, PSIM Yogyakarta won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for FC Bhayangkara and 1.38 for PSIM Yogyakarta. This points to a FC Bhayangkara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
FC Bhayangkara
15%
Draws
36%
PSIM Yogyakarta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Bhayangkara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • FC Bhayangkara picked up more points recently compared to PSIM Yogyakarta.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 17%
PSIM Yogyakarta Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Bhayangkara PSIM Yogyakarta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 3 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
PSIM Yogyakarta vs FC Bhayangkara
1:0
Feb 26, 2025 Championship
PSIM Yogyakarta vs FC Bhayangkara
2:1
Dec 19, 2024 Championship
PSIM Yogyakarta vs FC Bhayangkara
1:2
Sep 19, 2024 Championship
FC Bhayangkara vs PSIM Yogyakarta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Bhayangkara Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadiki N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sidibe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

PSIM Yogyakarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheva S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Bhayangkara 48 / 100
PSIM Yogyakarta 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Bhayangkara PSIM Yogyakarta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Bhayangkara or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Bhayangkara attacking → ← attacking PSIM Yogyakarta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Bhayangkara scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

PSIM Yogyakarta let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

FC Bhayangkara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

PSIM Yogyakarta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 37
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518