Sport Picks
FC Bhayangkara vs Semen Padang
Indonesia
Super League 2025/2026 Sumpah Pemuda, Bandar Lampung 
Match Events
21'
21'
Diarra B.
27'
27'
Giraldo J.
28'
28'
Sidibe M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Super League 2025/2026 game between FC Bhayangkara and Semen Padang finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Bhayangkara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Bhayangkara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Bhayangkara come out ahead of Semen Padang on wins alone.
- Win probability leans FC Bhayangkara's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- FC Bhayangkara have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 68%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Bhayangkara | Semen Padang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2026 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Semen Padang
4:0
Oct 20, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs FC Bhayangkara
0:1
Nov 2, 2019 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Semen Padang
2:2
Jul 17, 2019 Super League
Semen Padang vs FC Bhayangkara
2:3
Mar 3, 2019 President Cup
FC Bhayangkara vs Semen Padang
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Bhayangkara Compare
Top Goalscorer Sidibe M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Doumbia B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Semen Padang Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Bhayangkara 95 / 100
Semen Padang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Bhayangkara Semen Padang
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Bhayangkara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Bhayangkara's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Semen Padang has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: FC Bhayangkara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Bhayangkara VS Semen Padang
2 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Bhayangkara
(Home) 19 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 0 Isenmulang Kalteng
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2 FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1 Persebaya
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 0 Isenmulang Kalteng
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1 Persebaya
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1 Madura United
30 Apr
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 4 Persib Bandung
Page 1 of 3
Semen Padang
(Away) 26 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
0 : 2 Semen Padang
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSIS Semarang
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0 Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7 Persebaya
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
0 : 2 Semen Padang
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0 Semen Padang
03 May
Dewa United
1 : 0 Semen Padang
25 Apr
Borneo
3 : 0 Semen Padang
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Java United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |
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