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FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Palacios B.
Assist: Arrasco M.
19' Event
Arrasco M.
Assist: Palacios B.
21' Event
Cabello C.
Assist: Barreto G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between FC Cajamarca and Cienciano finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cienciano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Cajamarca
15%
Draws
46%
Cienciano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cienciano's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca Cienciano
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga 1
FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano
2:5
Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arrasco M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabello C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandoval R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 18 / 100
Cienciano 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca Cienciano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cienciano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Cajamarca's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cienciano conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: FC Cajamarca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Cienciano
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cajamarca

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3
FC Cajamarca
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 6

Cienciano

(Away)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)