Sport Picks

Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon

FC Cajamarca

3 - 4

Comerciantes Unidos

Our Tip

Match Events

Alcedo F.

10'

Gallardo J.

19'

Palacios B.

Assist: Barcos H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comerciantes Unidos in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comerciantes Unidos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

FC Cajamarca

17%

Draws

13%

Comerciantes Unidos

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Cajamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Comerciantes Unidos haven't matched FC Cajamarca's recent run of results.
FC Cajamarca are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 68%

Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Cajamarca	Comerciantes Unidos
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	10	9
Draws	8	10
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.5	0.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga 1

FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rodriguez A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Comerciantes Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayovi W.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Parodi J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 77 / 100

Comerciantes Unidos 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Cajamarca Comerciantes Unidos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

FC Cajamarca found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Comerciantes Unidos conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

FC Cajamarca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Comerciantes Unidos

1.5 Goals Scored 0.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	A. Lima	17	12	4	1	30:8	40
2	Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	25:21	34
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34:22	33
4	Universitario de Deportes	17	8	5	4	24:15	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	29:20	28
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21:24	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	21:18	26
8	Alianza Atl.	17	5	6	6	20:18	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	18:20	21
10	AD Tarma	17	5	5	7	22:21	20
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	15:19	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28:30	19
13	Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	21:26	18
14	Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17:24	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23:28	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12:18	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	21:31	16
18	Juan Pablo II	17	4	4	9	22:40	16