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Stadium Background

FC Cajamarca vs Moquegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cajamarca host Moquegua in the Liga 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: FC Cajamarca at 1.48 goals for, 1.93 against; Moquegua at 0.87 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor Moquegua slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.56, favoring Moquegua. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Cajamarca
15%
Draws
0%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Cajamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moquegua come out ahead of FC Cajamarca on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FC Cajamarca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 15%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca Moquegua
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.48 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Moquegua
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 2
Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Moquegua
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Liga 2
Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 84 / 100
Moquegua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca Moquegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cajamarca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moquegua lost 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Cajamarca's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Moquegua conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Moquegua
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cajamarca

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3
FC Cajamarca
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 6

Moquegua

(Away)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)