Sport Picks
FC Cajamarca vs Moquegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
FC Cajamarca host Moquegua in the Liga 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: FC Cajamarca at 1.48 goals for, 1.93 against; Moquegua at 0.87 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor Moquegua slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.56, favoring Moquegua. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Moquegua come out ahead of FC Cajamarca on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on FC Cajamarca taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cajamarca | Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moquegua lost 5 of their last 5 games.
FC Cajamarca's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Moquegua conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Cajamarca
(Home)Moquegua
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |