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FC Cajamarca vs San Marcos

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Rodriguez R. In: Garcia A.
Out: Rodriguez R.
48'
Merino B.
69'
Sub
Casquete A. In: Valencia J.
Out: Casquete A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between FC Cajamarca and San Marcos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cajamarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Cajamarca
15%
Draws
0%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Cajamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Cajamarca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Cajamarca a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 68%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca San Marcos
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.54 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs San Marcos
1:0
May 2, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs FC Cajamarca
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 95 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cajamarca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Cajamarca found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (37 games).

San Marcos let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS San Marcos
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cajamarca

(Home)
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3
FC Cajamarca
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
16 Aug
FC Cajamarca
2 : 3
Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 8

San Marcos

(Away)
02 May
San Marcos
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
25 Apr
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 0
San Marcos
19 Apr
San Marcos
0 : 3
Pirata
03 Apr
AD Cantolao
5 : 1
San Marcos
27 Mar
San Marcos
0 : 3
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cajamarca 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 San Marcos 12 5 3 4 9:5 18
3 Cesar Vallejo 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
4 Carlos Mannucci 12 5 2 5 17:14 17
5 ADA Jaen 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
6 Llacuabamba 12 4 3 5 12:17 15
7 Pirata 12 3 1 8 5:16 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 14 8 4 2 25:12 28
2 Moquegua 14 7 4 3 20:13 25
3 Union Comercio 14 7 2 5 24:19 23
4 Tacna Heroica 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
5 Santos FC 14 6 3 5 21:21 21
6 U. San Martin 14 6 2 6 17:20 20
7 Deportivo Coopsol 14 3 3 8 13:25 12
8 AD Cantolao 14 0 4 10 7:21 4
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025 (Relegation Group)