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FC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
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Match Events

17'
Vilchez Y.
24' Event
Inga C.
Assist: Lapadula G.
29' Event
Valera A.
Assist: Inga C.

AI Match Summary

Universitario de Deportes in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Universitario de Deportes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
FC Cajamarca
15%
Draws
53%
Universitario de Deportes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Universitario de Deportes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Universitario de Deportes lately — more wins on the board than FC Cajamarca.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Universitario de Deportes taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca Universitario de Deportes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga 1
FC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes
2:3
Mar 1, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs FC Cajamarca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cajamarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Universitario de Deportes Compare

Top Goalscorer Inga C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 22 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca Universitario de Deportes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cajamarca's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Deportes conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: FC Cajamarca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Universitario de Deportes
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cajamarca

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3
FC Cajamarca
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 6

Universitario de Deportes

(Away)
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4
Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0
Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)