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FC Camaguey vs FC Sancti Spiritus

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Sat, Jun 14, 2025
3 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Camaguey host FC Sancti Spiritus in the Liga Nacional. FC Camaguey go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: FC Camaguey at 1.59 goals for, 0.93 against; FC Sancti Spiritus at 0.22 for, 1.81 against. Head-to-head, FC Camaguey have won 2 to FC Sancti Spiritus's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.31 - 0.44) back FC Camaguey to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Camaguey
15%
Draws
34%
FC Sancti Spiritus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Camaguey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Camaguey have won more games recently than FC Sancti Spiritus.
  • FC Camaguey are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
FC Camaguey Clean Sheet 20%
FC Sancti Spiritus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Camaguey FC Sancti Spiritus
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 3
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.59 0.22
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs FC Sancti Spiritus
3:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Camaguey
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs FC Sancti Spiritus
4:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Camaguey
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Camaguey
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Camaguey 85 / 100
FC Sancti Spiritus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Camaguey FC Sancti Spiritus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Camaguey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sancti Spiritus has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

FC Camaguey's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Sancti Spiritus's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Camaguey VS FC Sancti Spiritus
1.13 Goals Scored 0.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Camaguey

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Camaguey
3 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
07 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
2 : 1
FC Camaguey
24 May
Las Tunas
5 : 2
FC Camaguey
17 May
FC Camaguey
2 : 1
FC Ciego de Avila
03 May
FC Camaguey
0 : 1
Las Tunas
Page 1 of 6

FC Sancti Spiritus

(Away)
14 Jun
FC Camaguey
3 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
07 Jun
Las Tunas
4 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
24 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
0 : 0
FC Ciego de Avila
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1
Las Tunas
03 May
FC Ciego de Avila
3 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)