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FC Caracal vs Progresul Cernica

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 3 2012/2013 game between FC Caracal and Progresul Cernica finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Caracal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Caracal
15%
Draws
0%
Progresul Cernica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Caracal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Caracal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Caracal a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
FC Caracal Clean Sheet 19%
Progresul Cernica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Caracal Progresul Cernica
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.37 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 3
FC Caracal vs Progresul Cernica
4:1
Sep 29, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Cernica vs FC Caracal
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Caracal 85 / 100
Progresul Cernica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Caracal Progresul Cernica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Caracal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Cernica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Progresul Cernica has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Caracal found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Progresul Cernica
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Caracal

(Home)
31 Jul
Sporting Rosiori
3 : 0
FC Caracal
30 May
FC Caracal
1 : 2
Visina Noua
24 May
Inter Clinceni
0 : 3
FC Caracal
10 May
Voluntari
2 : 0
FC Caracal
03 May
FC Caracal
2 : 1
Stefanesti
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Progresul Cernica

(Away)
16 Jul
Viitorul Buzau
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
11 Apr
Progresul Cernica
0 : 3
Axintele
04 Apr
Voluntari
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
28 Mar
Progresul Cernica
0 : 3
Afumati
22 Mar
Rapid Fetesti
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berceni 24 18 3 3 52:22 57
2 FC Caracal 24 12 6 6 32:20 42
3 Balotesti 24 12 5 7 37:23 41
4 Inter Clinceni 24 10 5 9 27:34 35
5 Stefanesti 24 12 5 7 37:26 32
6 Progresul Cernica 24 10 2 12 33:37 32
7 Voluntari 24 7 10 7 30:25 31
8 Afumati 24 10 8 6 50:28 29
9 Visina Noua 24 8 9 7 35:27 24
10 Viitorul Domnesti 24 10 2 12 27:38 23
11 CSM Alexandria 24 4 6 14 26:43 18
12 Concordia 2 24 2 6 16 18:57 12
13 Tunari 24 5 5 14 31:55 11
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie 1 2013/2014 (Main)