Sport Picks
FC Caracal vs Progresul Corabia
Romania
Liga 3 - Seria 4 2008/2009 
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 - Seria 4 2008/2009 game between FC Caracal and Progresul Corabia finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Caracal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Corabia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Caracal carry the better recent record into this one.
- Progresul Corabia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors FC Caracal here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Caracal Clean Sheet 20%
Progresul Corabia Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Caracal | Progresul Corabia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 35 |
| Wins | 23 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.51 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 4
FC Caracal vs Progresul Corabia
4:2
Oct 9, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Corabia vs FC Caracal
1:3
Mar 13, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 4
FC Caracal vs Progresul Corabia
4:0
Aug 29, 2008 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Corabia vs FC Caracal
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Caracal 24 / 100
Progresul Corabia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Caracal Progresul Corabia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Progresul Corabia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: FC Caracal scored in 78% of their last 41 outings.
Defensive concern: Progresul Corabia conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.
FC Caracal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Caracal VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Caracal
(Home) 31 Jul
Sporting Rosiori
3 : 0 FC Caracal
30 May
FC Caracal
1 : 2 Visina Noua
24 May
Inter Clinceni
0 : 3 FC Caracal
10 May
Voluntari
2 : 0 FC Caracal
03 May
FC Caracal
2 : 1 Stefanesti
Page 1 of 9
30 May
FC Caracal
1 : 2 Visina Noua
03 May
FC Caracal
2 : 1 Stefanesti
19 Apr
FC Caracal
2 : 0 CSM Alexandria
05 Apr
FC Caracal
4 : 1 Progresul Cernica
29 Mar
FC Caracal
2 : 2 Berceni
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Progresul Corabia
(Away) 11 Jun
Albota
3 : 0 Progresul Corabia
05 Jun
Progresul Corabia
4 : 1 Triumf Barca
28 May
Oltchim Ramnicu
0 : 1 Progresul Corabia
21 May
Progresul Corabia
3 : 0 Juventus Bascov
14 May
Campionii Arges 2
1 : 3 Progresul Corabia
Page 1 of 7
11 Jun
Albota
3 : 0 Progresul Corabia
28 May
Oltchim Ramnicu
0 : 1 Progresul Corabia
14 May
Campionii Arges 2
1 : 3 Progresul Corabia
07 May
Ghecon Lapusata
3 : 1 Progresul Corabia
23 Apr
FC Caracal
4 : 2 Progresul Corabia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Turnu Severin | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63:24 | 74 |
| 2 | FC Caracal | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 55:24 | 65 |
| 3 | Adunatii-Copaceni | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 61:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Muscelul Muscel | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 61:36 | 55 |
| 5 | Viitorul Pucioasa | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Oltchim Ramnicu | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:34 | 51 |
| 7 | Minerul Motru | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 55:49 | 49 |
| 8 | Olt Slatina | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 36:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Armata Craiova | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 10 | Jiul Rovinari | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Matasari | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33:40 | 40 |
| 12 | Prometeu Craiova | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 37:41 | 38 |
| 13 | Campionii Arges 2 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 41:46 | 38 |
| 14 | Energia Rovinari | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 37:54 | 34 |
| 15 | Progresul Corabia | 32 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 37:53 | 33 |
| 16 | Petrom Chimia Craiova | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Bals | 32 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19:89 | 12 |
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie A 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
