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FC Cartagena SAD B vs Molinense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Gris Lucas J. A.
(Penalty)
46' Event
Lopez F.
48' Event
Britos C.

AI Match Summary

Molinense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
FC Cartagena SAD B
35%
Draws
40%
Molinense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than FC Cartagena SAD B.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Molinense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FC Cartagena SAD B Clean Sheet 18%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cartagena SAD B Molinense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs Molinense
2:4
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs FC Cartagena SAD B
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs Molinense
1:2
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs Molinense
0:2
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs FC Cartagena SAD B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cartagena SAD B Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Britos C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cartagena SAD B 32 / 100
Molinense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cartagena SAD B Molinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cartagena SAD B scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Molinense conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Cartagena SAD B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cartagena SAD B VS Molinense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cartagena SAD B

(Home)
04 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD B
1 : 2
CD Algar
27 Sept
UD Los Garres
0 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
Page 1 of 6

Molinense

(Away)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)