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FC Cartagena SAD vs Ilicitano

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cartagena SAD play Ilicitano in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Cartagena SAD averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Ilicitano averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, FC Cartagena SAD won 1, Ilicitano won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 16, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for FC Cartagena SAD and 1.13 for Ilicitano. This points to a FC Cartagena SAD double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Cartagena SAD
28%
Draws
29%
Ilicitano
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Cartagena SAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • FC Cartagena SAD picked up more points recently compared to Ilicitano.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 21%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cartagena SAD Ilicitano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Cartagena SAD vs Ilicitano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Borrego C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serrano R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ilicitano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cartagena SAD 43 / 100
Ilicitano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cartagena SAD Ilicitano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Cartagena SAD or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Cartagena SAD attacking → ← attacking Ilicitano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cartagena SAD scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ilicitano let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Cartagena SAD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ilicitano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 36
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75