Sport Picks
FC Castiglione vs Montichiari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between FC Castiglione and Montichiari finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Castiglione.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Castiglione
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
16%
/ Low Confidence
- FC Castiglione carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Castiglione Clean Sheet 20%
Montichiari Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Castiglione | Montichiari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 28 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 2.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Montichiari vs FC Castiglione
1:3
Nov 8, 2014 Serie D - Group B
FC Castiglione vs Montichiari
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Castiglione 32 / 100
Montichiari 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Castiglione Montichiari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montichiari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Castiglione scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Montichiari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Difficult form: Montichiari registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Castiglione VS Montichiari
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Castiglione
(Home) 10 Aug
FC Castiglione
0 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
19 Jul
Mantova
13 : 0 FC Castiglione
28 May
Siena
2 : 1 FC Castiglione
20 May
Cuneo
1 : 2 FC Castiglione
17 May
FC Castiglione
1 : 1 Padova
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10 Aug
FC Castiglione
0 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
17 May
FC Castiglione
1 : 1 Padova
03 May
FC Castiglione
1 : 1 Seregno Calcio
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2 Aurora Seriate
02 Apr
FC Castiglione
1 : 1 Virtus Verona
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Montichiari
(Away) 10 May
Montichiari
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
03 May
MapelloBonate
4 : 1 Montichiari
26 Apr
Montichiari
0 : 1 Ciserano
19 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Montichiari
12 Apr
Montichiari
1 : 2 Villafranca
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03 May
MapelloBonate
4 : 1 Montichiari
19 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Montichiari
02 Apr
Olginatese
4 : 0 Montichiari
25 Mar
Pro Sesto
4 : 0 Montichiari
15 Mar
Seregno Calcio
6 : 2 Montichiari
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Castiglione | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 74 |
| 2 | Lecco | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:42 | 66 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:37 | 65 |
| 4 | Ciserano | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 53:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:34 | 59 |
| 6 | Pergolettese | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 46:44 | 55 |
| 7 | Olginatese | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 44:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50:42 | 52 |
| 9 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 37:40 | 51 |
| 10 | Sondrio | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | Aurora Seriate | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 12 | Inveruno | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Villafranca | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:49 | 47 |
| 14 | MapelloBonate | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 36:48 | 47 |
| 15 | Pro Sesto | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 37:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 18 | Castellana | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 36:61 | 30 |
| 19 | Montichiari | 36 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26:97 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)
