Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015

FC Castiglione

1 - 0

Villafranca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Castiglione in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Castiglione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

FC Castiglione

28%

Draws

50%

Villafranca

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

FC Castiglione have won more games recently than Villafranca.
Model gives Villafranca a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

FC Castiglione Clean Sheet 10%

Villafranca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Castiglione	Villafranca
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	15	7
Draws	6	10
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	7	1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	7.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2015 Serie D - Group B

FC Castiglione vs Villafranca

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Sep 21, 2014 Serie D - Group B

Villafranca vs FC Castiglione

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Castiglione 22 / 100

Villafranca 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Castiglione Villafranca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Castiglione found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Villafranca has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Villafranca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FC Castiglione VS Villafranca

0 Goals Scored 0.75

7 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Castiglione	36	22	8	6	54:26	74
2	Lecco	36	19	9	8	65:42	66
3	Seregno Calcio	36	20	5	11	64:37	65
4	Ciserano	36	17	9	10	53:39	60
5	Virtus Verona	36	15	14	7	58:34	59
6	Pergolettese	36	15	10	11	46:44	55
7	Olginatese	36	15	9	12	44:34	54
8	Ponte San Pietro	36	14	10	12	50:42	52
9	Ciliverghe Mazzano	36	14	9	13	37:40	51
10	Sondrio	36	15	6	15	46:50	51
11	Aurora Seriate	36	14	8	14	42:43	50
12	Inveruno	36	13	10	13	47:48	49
13	Villafranca	36	12	11	13	44:49	47
14	MapelloBonate	36	12	11	13	36:48	47
15	Pro Sesto	36	13	8	15	38:41	47
16	Caravaggio	36	11	8	17	37:42	41
17	Folgore Caratese	36	7	16	13	34:40	37
18	Castellana	36	7	9	20	36:61	30
19	Montichiari	36	1	2	33	26:97	5