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FC Cesarense vs Alianca de Gandra

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cesarense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cesarense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FC Cesarense
20%
Draws
30%
Alianca de Gandra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Cesarense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianca de Gandra have won more games recently than FC Cesarense.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on FC Cesarense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 20%
Alianca de Gandra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cesarense Alianca de Gandra
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 14 4
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.14 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Cesarense vs Alianca de Gandra
5:0
Oct 22, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Alianca de Gandra vs FC Cesarense
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cesarense 76 / 100
Alianca de Gandra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cesarense Alianca de Gandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cesarense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

FC Cesarense scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Alianca de Gandra has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: FC Cesarense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cesarense VS Alianca de Gandra
0.75 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cesarense

(Home)
12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0
Amarante FC
05 May
Cinfaes
0 : 2
FC Cesarense
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4
SC Espinho
20 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 2
FC Cesarense
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4
Lusitano FCV
Page 1 of 7

Alianca de Gandra

(Away)
22 Sept
Gondomar
1 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
08 Sept
Alianca de Gandra
2 : 1
SC Salgueiros
15 Aug
Leca
4 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
22 Apr
Alianca de Gandra
0 : 1
Canelas 2010
15 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 30 16 8 6 53:28 56
2 SC Espinho 30 15 9 6 50:30 54
3 Gondomar 30 13 10 7 43:29 49
4 FC Cesarense 30 11 15 4 44:26 48
5 Cinfaes 30 13 6 11 39:40 45
6 Amarante FC 30 12 9 9 42:33 45
7 Sanjoanense 30 10 12 8 35:30 42
8 Pedras Rubras 30 11 9 10 36:32 42
9 Trofense 30 12 6 12 34:35 42
10 Coimbroes 30 11 8 11 40:46 41
11 Canelas 2010 30 11 8 11 45:44 41
12 SC Salgueiros 30 7 14 9 30:34 35
13 Camacha 30 10 4 16 33:47 34
14 Alianca de Gandra 30 8 5 17 24:47 29
15 Freamunde 30 6 10 14 26:31 28
16 Sousense 30 6 3 21 19:61 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)