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FC Cesarense vs Gafanha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gafanha in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gafanha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Cesarense
20%
Draws
44%
Gafanha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gafanha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gafanha have won more games recently than FC Cesarense.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FC Cesarense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 12%
Gafanha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cesarense Gafanha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 12 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Cesarense vs Gafanha
0:1
Sep 16, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gafanha vs FC Cesarense
2:1
Apr 17, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Cesarense vs Gafanha
2:1
Feb 28, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Gafanha vs FC Cesarense
1:1
Nov 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Cesarense vs Gafanha
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cesarense 40 / 100
Gafanha 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cesarense Gafanha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gafanha has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: FC Cesarense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

FC Cesarense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cesarense VS Gafanha
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cesarense

(Home)
12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0
Amarante FC
05 May
Cinfaes
0 : 2
FC Cesarense
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4
SC Espinho
20 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 2
FC Cesarense
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4
Lusitano FCV
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Gafanha

(Away)
12 May
Gafanha
0 : 4
SC Espinho
05 May
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Gafanha
28 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
20 Apr
Gondomar
6 : 1
Gafanha
14 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Meda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Espinho 34 20 9 5 52:20 69
2 Lusitania FC 34 19 12 3 52:27 69
3 Gondomar 34 18 10 6 50:22 64
4 Agueda 34 16 12 6 43:26 60
5 Lusitano FCV 34 17 8 9 59:28 59
6 Sanjoanense 34 15 10 9 44:34 55
7 Amarante FC 34 15 9 10 45:28 54
8 Coimbroes 34 13 10 11 43:39 49
9 Maritimo B 34 12 13 9 53:40 49
10 Paredes 34 13 7 14 42:33 46
11 U. Madeira 34 12 8 14 28:35 44
12 Leca 34 12 7 15 34:41 43
13 Pedras Rubras 34 9 15 10 36:43 42
14 Cinfaes 34 11 8 15 33:40 41
15 Gafanha 34 11 4 19 46:69 37
16 Penalva do Castelo 34 7 7 20 27:66 28
17 FC Cesarense 34 4 13 17 37:55 25
18 Meda 34 0 2 32 21:99 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)