Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019

Lusitano FCV

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Cesarense play Lusitano FCV in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Cesarense averaged 1 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Lusitano FCV averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, FC Cesarense won 1, Lusitano FCV won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 14, 2019 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for FC Cesarense and 0.74 for Lusitano FCV. This points to a Lusitano FCV double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

FC Cesarense

25%

Draws

47%

Lusitano FCV

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lusitano FCV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

FC Cesarense picked up more points recently compared to Lusitano FCV.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 27%

Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Cesarense	Lusitano FCV
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	2	7
Draws	12	4
Losses	16	17
Goals Scored	1	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.73	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

FC Cesarense vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

0:4

Dec 2, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Lusitano FCV vs FC Cesarense

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

4:1

May 8, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

FC Cesarense vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Mar 20, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitano FCV vs FC Cesarense

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Nov 29, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitano FCV vs FC Cesarense

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 0 - 0

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cesarense 31 / 100

Lusitano FCV 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Cesarense Lusitano FCV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lusitano FCV or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Cesarense attacking → ← attacking Lusitano FCV

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cesarense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Lusitano FCV let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

FC Cesarense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lusitano FCV lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 25

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Espinho	34	20	9	5	52:20	69
2	Lusitania FC	34	19	12	3	52:27	69
3	Gondomar	34	18	10	6	50:22	64
4	Agueda	34	16	12	6	43:26	60
5	Lusitano FCV	34	17	8	9	59:28	59
6	Sanjoanense	34	15	10	9	44:34	55
7	Amarante FC	34	15	9	10	45:28	54
8	Coimbroes	34	13	10	11	43:39	49
9	Maritimo B	34	12	13	9	53:40	49
10	Paredes	34	13	7	14	42:33	46
11	U. Madeira	34	12	8	14	28:35	44
12	Leca	34	12	7	15	34:41	43
13	Pedras Rubras	34	9	15	10	36:43	42
14	Cinfaes	34	11	8	15	33:40	41
15	Gafanha	34	11	4	19	46:69	37
16	Penalva do Castelo	34	7	7	20	27:66	28
17	FC Cesarense	34	4	13	17	37:55	25
18	Meda	34	0	2	32	21:99	2