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FC Cesarense vs Moimenta da Beira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2016/2017 game between FC Cesarense and Moimenta da Beira finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cesarense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Cesarense
30%
Draws
31%
Moimenta da Beira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cesarense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Moimenta da Beira haven't matched FC Cesarense's recent run of results.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Moimenta da Beira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 10%
Moimenta da Beira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cesarense Moimenta da Beira
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 13 8
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
FC Cesarense vs Moimenta da Beira
1:0
Mar 5, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Moimenta da Beira vs FC Cesarense
1:2
Jan 29, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
FC Cesarense vs Moimenta da Beira
2:1
Nov 6, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Moimenta da Beira vs FC Cesarense
1:0
Sep 4, 2016 Taça de Portugal
FC Cesarense vs Moimenta da Beira
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cesarense 26 / 100
Moimenta da Beira 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cesarense Moimenta da Beira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moimenta da Beira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Moimenta da Beira conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

FC Cesarense scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

FC Cesarense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Cesarense VS Moimenta da Beira
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cesarense

(Home)
12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0
Amarante FC
05 May
Cinfaes
0 : 2
FC Cesarense
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4
SC Espinho
20 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 2
FC Cesarense
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4
Lusitano FCV
Page 1 of 7

Moimenta da Beira

(Away)
11 Sept
Moimenta da Beira
2 : 3
Cinfaes
14 May
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Moimenta da Beira
07 May
Moimenta da Beira
0 : 0
CD Gouveia
30 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0
Moimenta da Beira
23 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 0
Moimenta da Beira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oliveirense 18 10 4 4 26:20 34
2 SC Salgueiros 18 10 4 4 25:10 34
3 Sanjoanense 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Coimbroes 18 8 6 4 22:20 30
5 Cinfaes 18 8 2 8 16:18 26
6 Sousense 18 7 3 8 28:29 24
7 Gondomar 18 5 6 7 21:22 21
8 Estarreja 18 4 6 8 28:31 18
9 FC Cesarense 18 4 5 9 17:22 17
10 Moimenta da Beira 18 2 6 10 12:28 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Relegation Group)