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FC Cesarense vs Oliveira de Frades - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cesarense in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cesarense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Cesarense
30%
Draws
31%
Oliveira de Frades
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cesarense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Cesarense at 1.11 per game, Oliveira de Frades at 0.97.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Cesarense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 16%
Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cesarense Oliveira de Frades
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 14 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.11 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs FC Cesarense
1:2
Mar 13, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Cesarense vs Oliveira de Frades
1:0
Jan 20, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Cesarense vs Oliveira de Frades
3:1
Oct 25, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs FC Cesarense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cesarense 36 / 100
Oliveira de Frades 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cesarense Oliveira de Frades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oliveira de Frades Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cesarense scored in 74% of their last 38 games.

Oliveira de Frades has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

FC Cesarense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cesarense VS Oliveira de Frades
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cesarense

(Home)
12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0
Amarante FC
05 May
Cinfaes
0 : 2
FC Cesarense
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4
SC Espinho
20 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 2
FC Cesarense
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4
Lusitano FCV
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Oliveira de Frades

(Away)
08 Sept
Oliveira de Frades
0 : 3
Mortagua FC
15 May
Lusitano FCV
1 : 0
Oliveira de Frades
08 May
Oliveira de Frades
3 : 1
Lusitania FC
30 Apr
Oliveira de Frades
1 : 2
FC Cesarense
24 Apr
Gafanha
1 : 1
Oliveira de Frades
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanjoanense 14 9 4 1 27:11 46
2 FC Cesarense 14 8 3 3 20:14 38
3 Lusitano FCV 14 5 4 5 16:10 34
4 Mortagua FC 14 6 1 7 13:16 29
5 Gafanha 14 5 4 5 14:17 27
6 Lusitania FC 14 4 5 5 13:16 27
7 Oliveira de Frades 14 3 3 8 15:22 22
8 Bustelo 14 3 2 9 10:22 18
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)