Sport Picks
FC Chernihiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Chernihiv Arena, Chernihiv 
Match Events
8'
8'
Lisnyak R.
29'
29'
Shalfeev Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Myronenko D. In: Stolyarchuk A.
Out: Myronenko D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Chernihiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- FC Chernihiv have won more games recently than MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Chernihiv taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 68%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Chernihiv | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 2.86 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2026 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Chernihiv
0:0
Dec 15, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:1
Jun 12, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Chernihiv
0:2
Jun 8, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
3:0
Oct 29, 2023 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Chernihiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Fateev D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare
Top Goalscorer Lisnyak R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Chernihiv 95 / 100
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Chernihiv MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Chernihiv's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Chernihiv VS MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 Goals Scored 0.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.86
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Chernihiv
(Home) 18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1 FC Chernihiv
15 Jul
Obolon
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
01 Jun
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Inhulets
20 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 3 Dynamo Kyiv
09 May
FC Chernihiv
2 : 2 Ch. Odesa
26 Apr
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Vorskla Poltava
Page 1 of 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
(Away) 02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
25 Apr
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
12 Apr
Inhulets
0 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
08 Apr
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)