Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Tver

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Melnikov M.
41' Event
Melnikov M.
54' Event
Shumilov S.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 game between FC Chertanovo Moscow and FK Tver finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Chertanovo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
30%
Draws
32%
FK Tver
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • FK Tver haven't matched FC Chertanovo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
FK Tver Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chertanovo Moscow FK Tver
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Tver
4:0
May 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Tver
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Tver vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Tver
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Melnikov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shumilov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

FK Tver Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chertanovo Moscow 40 / 100
FK Tver 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chertanovo Moscow FK Tver

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chertanovo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chertanovo Moscow found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Chertanovo Moscow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: FK Tver conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Chertanovo Moscow VS FK Tver
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chertanovo Moscow

(Home)
21 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
4 : 2
Kosmos
12 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
1 : 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow 2
1 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
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FK Tver

(Away)
27 Sept
FK Tver
2 : 0
Vladimir
20 Sept
FC Irkutsk
:
FK Tver
13 Sept
FK Tver
2 : 0
Dynamo Vologda
05 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 1
FK Tver
30 Aug
FK Tver
1 : 1
Yenisey 2
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