Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Santiago de Cuba

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Wed, Jul 9, 2025
1 - 2
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Santiago de Cuba in this Liga Nacional tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FC Ciego de Avila
20%
Draws
38%
FC Santiago de Cuba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Ciego de Avila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Santiago de Cuba have won more games recently than FC Ciego de Avila.
  • Win probability leans FC Ciego de Avila's way, sitting at 42%.
  • FC Santiago de Cuba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Santiago de Cuba, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Santiago de Cuba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 20%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ciego de Avila FC Santiago de Cuba
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Santiago de Cuba
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Ciego de Avila
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Santiago de Cuba
1:2
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Ciego de Avila
4:0
Mar 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ciego de Avila 42 / 100
FC Santiago de Cuba 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ciego de Avila FC Santiago de Cuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago de Cuba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 39 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

FC Ciego de Avila has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Ciego de Avila scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ciego de Avila VS FC Santiago de Cuba
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ciego de Avila

(Home)
09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2
FC Santiago de Cuba
05 Jul
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 1
FC Ciego de Avila
14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0
Las Tunas
07 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
2 : 1
FC Camaguey
24 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
0 : 0
FC Ciego de Avila
Page 1 of 6

FC Santiago de Cuba

(Away)
09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2
FC Santiago de Cuba
05 Jul
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 1
FC Ciego de Avila
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0
CF Granma
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Artemisa3
FC Villa Clara4
FC Santiago de Cuba3
FC Ciego de Avila2