Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional game between FC Ciego de Avila and Las Tunas finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ciego de Avila.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Las Tunas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Las Tunas carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 20%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Ciego de Avila | Las Tunas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
4:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Ciego de Avila 36 / 100
Las Tunas 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Ciego de Avila Las Tunas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Las Tunas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Las Tunas let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: FC Ciego de Avila remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
FC Ciego de Avila found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
FC Ciego de Avila VS Las Tunas
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Ciego de Avila
(Home) 09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2 FC Santiago de Cuba
05 Jul
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 1 FC Ciego de Avila
14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0 Las Tunas
07 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
2 : 1 FC Camaguey
24 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
0 : 0 FC Ciego de Avila
Page 1 of 6
09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2 FC Santiago de Cuba
14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0 Las Tunas
07 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
2 : 1 FC Camaguey
03 May
FC Ciego de Avila
3 : 0 FC Sancti Spiritus
19 Apr
FC Ciego de Avila
0 : 1 Las Tunas
Page 1 of 3
Las Tunas
(Away) 14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0 Las Tunas
07 Jun
Las Tunas
4 : 0 FC Sancti Spiritus
24 May
Las Tunas
5 : 2 FC Camaguey
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1 Las Tunas
10 May
Las Tunas
3 : 0 FC Ciego de Avila
Page 1 of 7
14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0 Las Tunas
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1 Las Tunas
03 May
FC Camaguey
0 : 1 Las Tunas
19 Apr
FC Ciego de Avila
0 : 1 Las Tunas
22 Mar
FC Sancti Spiritus
0 : 1 Las Tunas
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC La Habana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Artemisa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 3 | Isla de La Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 4 | Pinar del Rio | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cienfuegos | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Villa Clara | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Matanzas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mayabeque Guines | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:26 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Tunas | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Ciego de Avila | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Camaguey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Sancti Spiritus | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guantanamo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25:6 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Santiago de Cuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Holguin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 4 | CF Granma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
