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FC Cienfuegos vs FC Holguin

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cienfuegos in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cienfuegos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Cienfuegos
6%
Draws
4%
FC Holguin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Cienfuegos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Cienfuegos lately — more wins on the board than FC Holguin.
  • FC Cienfuegos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 68%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cienfuegos FC Holguin
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Cienfuegos
1:1
Jun 17, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Holguin
3:2
Jun 3, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Holguin
0:2
May 13, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Cienfuegos
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cienfuegos 95 / 100
FC Holguin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cienfuegos FC Holguin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Cienfuegos scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

FC Holguin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

FC Cienfuegos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Cienfuegos VS FC Holguin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
FC Cienfuegos4
FC Holguin3