Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cienfuegos vs FC Holguin

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cienfuegos in this Liga Nacional 2023 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FC Cienfuegos
30%
Draws
23%
FC Holguin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cienfuegos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Cienfuegos lately — more wins on the board than FC Holguin.
  • FC Cienfuegos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • FC Cienfuegos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Holguin, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 68%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cienfuegos FC Holguin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Cienfuegos
1:1
Jun 17, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Holguin
3:2
Jun 3, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Holguin
0:2
May 13, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Cienfuegos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cienfuegos 95 / 100
FC Holguin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cienfuegos FC Holguin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cienfuegos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

FC Cienfuegos scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

FC Holguin has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: FC Cienfuegos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cienfuegos VS FC Holguin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cienfuegos

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 6

FC Holguin

(Away)
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1
FC Holguin
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
FC Cienfuegos 4
FC Holguin 3