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Stadium Background

FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 NKU Soccer Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Stefanovic L.
30' Event
Edwards N.
Assist: Ayari H.
40'
Barrow D.

AI Match Summary

Toronto FC II in this MLS Next Pro 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toronto FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Cincinnati 2
6%
Draws
4%
Toronto FC II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Cincinnati 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Cincinnati 2 haven't matched Toronto FC II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Cincinnati 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati 2 Toronto FC II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II
5:0
Aug 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs FC Cincinnati 2
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II
0:1
Sep 2, 2024 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cincinnati 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 2 83 / 100
Toronto FC II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati 2 Toronto FC II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC II lost 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Cincinnati 2 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Toronto FC II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati 2 VS Toronto FC II
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
5FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
6Toronto FC II281201634:4238
7New York City II281101753:6135
8Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chattanooga281801042:3653
2Huntsville City281801056:3252
3Carolina Core281301542:4439
4Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
5Orlando City B281301538:5537
6Crown Legacy281001845:5432
7Inter Miami II28702140:7225
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
2Real Monarchs281701155:4251
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
4Ventura County281301548:5141
5Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
6Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
7Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
3Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
4North Texas281501346:5643
5Austin FC II281301535:3641
6Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
7Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chattanooga281801042:3653
5Huntsville City281801056:3252
6Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
7FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
8Carolina Core281301542:4439
9Toronto FC II281201634:4238
10Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
11Orlando City B281301538:5537
12New York City II281101753:6135
13Crown Legacy281001845:5432
14Inter Miami II28702140:7225
15Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
3Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
4Real Monarchs281701155:4251
5Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
6North Texas281501346:5643
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
8Ventura County281301548:5141
9Austin FC II281301535:3641
10Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
11Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
12Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
13Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
14Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717