Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
FC Dallas Logo

FC Dallas

Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Seattle Sounders Logo

Seattle Sounders

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Dallas host Seattle Sounders in the MLS. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. FC Dallas have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Seattle Sounders's 1.31 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Seattle Sounders slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.81) back FC Dallas to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FC Dallas
30%
Draws
32%
Seattle Sounders
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Seattle Sounders haven't matched FC Dallas's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Seattle Sounders here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 11%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Dallas Seattle Sounders
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs FC Dallas
2:1
May 24, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs FC Dallas
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs FC Dallas
3:2
Apr 14, 2024 MLS
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Dallas 30 / 100
Seattle Sounders 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Dallas Seattle Sounders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: FC Dallas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FC Dallas scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Seattle Sounders let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Dallas VS Seattle Sounders
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Dallas

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6

Seattle Sounders

(Away)
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)