Sport Picks
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs BFC Daugavpils
Latvia
Virslīga 2014 Daugavas stadions, Daugavpils 
Match Events
18'
18'
Kozlov D.
34'
34'
Kutsenko V.
56'
56'
Ignatans V.
AI Match Summary
The Virslīga 2014 game between FC Daugava Daugavpils and BFC Daugavpils finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Daugava Daugavpils.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Daugava Daugavpils
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- FC Daugava Daugavpils carry the better recent record into this one.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on FC Daugava Daugavpils taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- FC Daugava Daugavpils have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 20%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Daugava Daugavpils | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 26, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs BFC Daugavpils
5:0
Aug 13, 2014 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:2
Jun 18, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs BFC Daugavpils
2:1
Apr 26, 2014 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare
Top Goalscorer Kozlov D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kutsenko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
BFC Daugavpils Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Daugava Daugavpils 76 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Daugava Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Daugava Daugavpils Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Daugava Daugavpils scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: BFC Daugavpils conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
BFC Daugavpils's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS BFC Daugavpils
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Daugava Daugavpils
(Home) 08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0 FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1 Skonto
Page 1 of 6
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1 Skonto
20 Sept
FC Daugava Daugavpils
1 : 0 Jelgava
22 Aug
FC Daugava Daugavpils
1 : 1 Ventspils
16 Aug
FC Daugava Daugavpils
3 : 1 FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 3
BFC Daugavpils
(Away) 19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
26 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventspils | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 75:20 | 83 |
| 2 | Skonto | 36 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 77:34 | 71 |
| 3 | Jelgava | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 57:27 | 70 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 72:45 | 66 |
| 5 | FC Daugava Daugavpils | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 53:39 | 65 |
| 6 | Spartaks Jurmala | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 38:32 | 51 |
| 7 | FK Daugava Riga | 36 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 8 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 29 |
| 9 | FK Metta | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26:69 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Jurmala | 36 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 29:110 | 7 |
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
