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FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Metta Prediction & H2H Stats

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Virslīga 2014 Daugavas stadions, Daugavpils
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Match Events

4' Event
Kokins E.
68' Event
Volkovs V.
89' Event
Rozkovskis R.

AI Match Summary

FC Daugava Daugavpils in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Daugava Daugavpils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FC Daugava Daugavpils
15%
Draws
58%
FK Metta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Daugava Daugavpils haven't matched FK Metta's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Metta a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Daugava Daugavpils have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 10%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Daugava Daugavpils FK Metta
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 22
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.4 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2014 Virsliga
FK Metta vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:1
Aug 9, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Metta
2:1
Jun 14, 2014 Virsliga
FK Metta vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:1
Apr 19, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Metta
1:0
Feb 23, 2014 League Cup
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Metta
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokins E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Volkovs V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Rozkovskis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Daugava Daugavpils 10 / 100
FK Metta 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Daugava Daugavpils FK Metta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Daugava Daugavpils found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

FK Metta has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

FC Daugava Daugavpils has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Metta
0 Goals Scored 3.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Daugava Daugavpils

(Home)
08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1
Skonto
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FK Metta

(Away)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)