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FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Jelgava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Virslīga 2014 Daugavas stadions, Daugavpils
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Match Events

42' Event
Kosmacovs J.

AI Match Summary

FC Daugava Daugavpils in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Daugava Daugavpils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Daugava Daugavpils
15%
Draws
46%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Daugava Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than Jelgava.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 68%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Daugava Daugavpils Jelgava
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Jelgava
1:0
Jul 13, 2014 Virsliga
Jelgava vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
1:0
May 24, 2014 Virsliga
Jelgava vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
1:1
Mar 30, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Jelgava
1:2
Feb 10, 2014 League Cup
Jelgava vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosmacovs J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Jelgava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Daugava Daugavpils 41 / 100
Jelgava 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Daugava Daugavpils Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Daugava Daugavpils Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Daugava Daugavpils scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Jelgava has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

FC Daugava Daugavpils went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Daugava Daugavpils

(Home)
08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1
Skonto
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Jelgava

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)