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FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Olimps Riga

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Virslīga 2011
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
55' Event

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2011 game between FC Daugava Daugavpils and Olimps Riga finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Daugava Daugavpils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Daugava Daugavpils
15%
Draws
0%
Olimps Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Daugava Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Daugava Daugavpils come out ahead of Olimps Riga on wins alone.
  • FC Daugava Daugavpils are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Virslīga 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Daugava Daugavpils have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 68%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Daugava Daugavpils Olimps Riga
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 1
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 26
Goals Scored 1.61 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.06 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
1:3
Jul 24, 2011 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Olimps Riga
2:0
May 22, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:6
Apr 9, 2011 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Olimps Riga
2:0
Oct 31, 2010 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Daugava Daugavpils 95 / 100
Olimps Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Daugava Daugavpils Olimps Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Daugava Daugavpils Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimps Riga let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Olimps Riga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Daugava Daugavpils's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Daugava Daugavpils VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Daugava Daugavpils

(Home)
08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1
Skonto
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Olimps Riga

(Away)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Liepaja 32 22 4 6 72:26 70
2 Ventspils 32 21 6 5 73:20 69
3 FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 19 7 6 59:28 64
4 Skonto 32 17 9 6 62:21 60
5 FC Jurmala 32 12 8 12 45:42 44
6 Jelgava 32 13 4 15 47:54 43
7 Gulbene 32 7 7 18 39:67 28
8 FK Daugava Riga 32 5 6 21 34:75 21
9 Olimps Riga 32 1 3 28 19:117 6
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)