Sport Picks
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Ventspils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
Virslīga 2014 Daugavas stadions, Daugavpils 
Match Events
5'
5'
Karlsons G.
69'
69'
Zatkins O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Daugava Daugavpils
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Daugava Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than Ventspils.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on FC Daugava Daugavpils taking it.
- Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 20%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Daugava Daugavpils | Ventspils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 17 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 8, 2014 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
4:0
Aug 22, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Ventspils
1:1
Jun 25, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Ventspils
1:1
May 6, 2014 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
3:0
Apr 4, 2014 Latvian Cup
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Ventspils
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare
Top Goalscorer Zatkins O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
Ventspils Compare
Top Goalscorer Karlsons G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Daugava Daugavpils 42 / 100
Ventspils 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Daugava Daugavpils Ventspils
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Daugava Daugavpils's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ventspils conceded in 71% of 17 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
FC Daugava Daugavpils has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ventspils
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Daugava Daugavpils
(Home) 08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0 FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1 Skonto
Page 1 of 6
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1 Skonto
20 Sept
FC Daugava Daugavpils
1 : 0 Jelgava
22 Aug
FC Daugava Daugavpils
1 : 1 Ventspils
16 Aug
FC Daugava Daugavpils
3 : 1 FK Liepaja
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Ventspils
(Away) 29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3 Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2 Ventspils
29 May
Ventspils
0 : 0 Spartaks Jurmala
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Ventspils
17 May
Ventspils
2 : 2 Noah Jurmala
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29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3 Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2 Ventspils
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Ventspils
10 May
RFS
1 : 0 Ventspils
05 May
Riga FC
3 : 0 Ventspils
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventspils | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 75:20 | 83 |
| 2 | Skonto | 36 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 77:34 | 71 |
| 3 | Jelgava | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 57:27 | 70 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 72:45 | 66 |
| 5 | FC Daugava Daugavpils | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 53:39 | 65 |
| 6 | Spartaks Jurmala | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 38:32 | 51 |
| 7 | FK Daugava Riga | 36 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 8 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 29 |
| 9 | FK Metta | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26:69 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Jurmala | 36 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 29:110 | 7 |
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
