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FC Derby vs Mindelense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2015
Sat, Jul 11, 2015
1 - 2
08:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Mindelense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Derby
20%
Draws
47%
Mindelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Derby haven't matched Mindelense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Mindelense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mindelense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 15%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Derby Mindelense
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 15 25
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
FC Derby vs Mindelense
1:2
Jul 4, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs FC Derby
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Derby 31 / 100
Mindelense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Derby Mindelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Derby's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Derby stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mindelense let in goals in 57% of their last 47 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Derby VS Mindelense
1.4 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Derby

(Home)
13 Jul
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
FC Derby
29 Jun
FC Derby
4 : 1
Academico do Sal
22 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
FC Derby
15 Jun
FC Derby
0 : 0
Boavista da Praia
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2
FC Derby
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Mindelense

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 10

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Boavista 3
FC Derby 4
Paulense 1
Mindelense 2
Final
FC Derby 2
Mindelense 3