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FC Derby vs Sanjoanenses

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
FC Derby Logo

FC Derby

0 - 0
FT
Sanjoanenses Logo

Sanjoanenses

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
FC Derby
35%
Draws
30%
Sanjoanenses
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FC Derby have won more games recently than Sanjoanenses.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 20%
Sanjoanenses Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Derby Sanjoanenses
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 15 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.47 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.87 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
FC Derby vs Sanjoanenses
0:0
May 19, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Sanjoanenses vs FC Derby
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Derby 31 / 100
Sanjoanenses 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Derby Sanjoanenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Derby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Derby scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sanjoanenses conceded in 70% of 20 recent games.

Recent resilience: FC Derby stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Derby VS Sanjoanenses
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Derby

(Home)
13 Jul
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
FC Derby
29 Jun
FC Derby
4 : 1
Academico do Sal
22 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
FC Derby
15 Jun
FC Derby
0 : 0
Boavista da Praia
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2
FC Derby
Page 1 of 6

Sanjoanenses

(Away)
14 Jun
Palmeira
1 : 0
Sanjoanenses
08 Jun
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Palmeira
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Botafogo
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1
Sanjoanenses
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico do Sal 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
2 Academica do Fogo 6 2 2 2 11:6 8
3 Rosariense 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Juventude 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 13:5 12
2 Morabeza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
3 Barreirense 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 FC Derby 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
3 Ultramarina 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
4 Sanjoanenses 6 0 2 4 3:8 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams