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FC Dimona vs Hapoel Kfar Saba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Adi T.
49' Event
Koren Y.
76' Event
Harel R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Hapoel Kfar Saba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
FC Dimona
15%
Draws
17%
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Dimona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • FC Dimona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Dimona a 68% chance of winning this.
  • FC Dimona have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Kfar Saba, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
FC Dimona Clean Sheet 68%
Hapoel Kfar Saba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Dimona Hapoel Kfar Saba
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.35 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 State Cup
FC Dimona vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Dimona Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaid K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Hapoel Kfar Saba Compare

Top Goalscorer Koren Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harel R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Dimona 50 / 100
Hapoel Kfar Saba 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Dimona Hapoel Kfar Saba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Dimona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Dimona found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (20 games).

Defensive concern: Hapoel Kfar Saba conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Dimona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Dimona VS Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Dimona

(Home)
30 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
2 : 3
FC Dimona
23 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 5
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
17 Sept
Tzeirei Tira
0 : 1
FC Dimona
09 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 0
Maccabi Yavne
03 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 2
FC Dimona
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Kfar Saba

(Away)
01 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 2
Yehuda
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
06 Sept
H. Raanana
6 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1
Nes Tziona 1
Hapoel Karmiel 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
H. Beer Sheva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Hadera -
TBD -
Hapoel Sderot FC 2
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1
Hapoel Jerusalem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 7
FC Beer Sheva 0
TBD -
Kiryat Yam -
Beitar Haifa 0
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 5
TBD -
Hapoel Ramat Gan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shmona -
Ironi Tiberias -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Yehuda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Afula -
TBD -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3
M. Herzliya -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Akko -
Kfar Saba 1928 2
Maccabi Yavne 0
TBD -
H. Ironi Rishon -
Maccabi HaSharon Netanya 1
Bnei Jaffa 4
Jerusalem FC 6
Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Netanya -
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Haifa -
Jadeidi-Makr 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1
TBD -
H. Raanana -
Kiryat Haim 1
Hapoel Yarka 2
Kfar Kama 0
Kiryat Gat 1
Ironi Modiin -
TBD -
M. Nazareth 2
Beitar Ramat Gan 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa -
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil 0
Shimshon Tel Aviv 2
TBD -
MS Kafr Qasim -
Shikun Hamizrah 0
Holon Yermiyahu 5
TBD -
Nof Hagalil -
Ironi Or Yehuda 1
FC Dimona 3
TBD -
Maccabi Petah Tikva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
1/32-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
TBD -
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1
Hapoel Karmiel 4
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
H. Beer Sheva -
TBD -
Hapoel Hadera 3
Hapoel Sderot FC 4
Hapoel Jerusalem -
TBD -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2
Kiryat Yam 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2
Hapoel Ramat Gan 3
TBD -
Shmona -
Ironi Tiberias -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Yehuda -
TBD -
Hapoel Afula 2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3
M. Herzliya 2
Hapoel Akko 0
Kfar Saba 1928 1
H. Ironi Rishon 0
Bnei Jaffa 1
Jerusalem FC 0
TBD -
Netanya -
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Haifa -
Jadeidi-Makr 0
H. Raanana 1
Hapoel Yarka 0
Kiryat Gat 4
Ironi Modiin 1
M. Nazareth 3
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa -
Shimshon Tel Aviv 0
MS Kafr Qasim 2
Holon Yermiyahu 1
Nof Hagalil 0
FC Dimona 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva 0
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
1/16-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva 2
Hapoel Karmiel 1
Maccabi Bnei Raina 1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0
H. Beer Sheva 2
Hapoel Sderot FC 1
Hapoel Jerusalem 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2
Shmona 3
Ironi Tiberias 1
Beitar Jerusalem 2
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 1
M. Herzliya 4
Kfar Saba 1928 1
Bnei Jaffa 0
Netanya 6
Sakhnin 0
Maccabi Jaffa 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3
SC Ashdod 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 5
Hapoel Haifa 0
H. Raanana 4
Kiryat Gat 3
M. Nazareth 1
Maccabi Haifa 8
MS Kafr Qasim 3
Holon Yermiyahu 1
FC Dimona 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba 3
1/8-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva 1
Maccabi Bnei Raina 2
H. Beer Sheva 2
Hapoel Jerusalem 1
Shmona 0
Beitar Jerusalem 2
Yehuda 1
M. Herzliya 0
Netanya 0
Maccabi Jaffa 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2
H. Raanana 0
Maccabi Haifa 1
MS Kafr Qasim 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba 0
Quarter-finals
Maccabi Bnei Raina 0
H. Beer Sheva 3
Beitar Jerusalem 1
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Jaffa 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 5
Maccabi Haifa 2
MS Kafr Qasim 0
Semi-finals
H. Beer Sheva 3
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
Maccabi Haifa 2
Final
H. Beer Sheva 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2