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FC Dimona vs Yehuda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Yehuda have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while FC Dimona have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.78. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.07 - 1.63) back FC Dimona to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FC Dimona
20%
Draws
38%
Yehuda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Dimona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Yehuda's 1.86 goals per match outpaces what FC Dimona have produced (1.78).
  • Win probability leans Yehuda's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Dimona Clean Sheet 14%
Yehuda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Dimona Yehuda
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 2 12
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.78 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Dimona 27 / 100
Yehuda 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Dimona Yehuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yehuda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Dimona found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (23 games).

Defensive concern: Yehuda conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

FC Dimona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Dimona VS Yehuda
1.14 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
43% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Dimona

(Home)
30 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
2 : 3
FC Dimona
23 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 5
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
17 Sept
Tzeirei Tira
0 : 1
FC Dimona
09 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 0
Maccabi Yavne
03 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 2
FC Dimona
Page 1 of 5

Yehuda

(Away)
01 Oct
Yehuda
2 : 1
Kiryat Gat
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 2
Yehuda
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
10 Sept
Ironi Modiin
2 : 4
Yehuda
07 Sept
Yehuda
0 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
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