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FC Ehlerange vs Jeunesse Canach

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021
Sun, Mar 7, 2021
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FC Ehlerange have averaged 1.83 scored and 3.33 conceded recently, against Jeunesse Canach's 1.03 scored and 1.67 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Ehlerange have won 0 to Jeunesse Canach's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.05) point toward FC Ehlerange. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Ehlerange
15%
Draws
49%
Jeunesse Canach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jeunesse Canach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeunesse Canach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jeunesse Canach a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Jeunesse Canach arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Ehlerange Clean Sheet 20%
Jeunesse Canach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ehlerange Jeunesse Canach
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 0 4
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Luxembourg Cup
FC Ehlerange vs Jeunesse Canach
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ehlerange 24 / 100
Jeunesse Canach 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ehlerange Jeunesse Canach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeunesse Canach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ehlerange scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Jeunesse Canach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Jeunesse Canach has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jeunesse Canach
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ehlerange

(Home)
19 Sept
Differdange
9 : 0
FC Ehlerange
05 Oct
FC Ehlerange
1 : 3
Fola
17 Oct
FC Ehlerange
4 : 3
Berdenia Berbourg
24 Sept
FC Ehlerange
1 : 2
Koeppchen
16 Sept
FC Ehlerange
1 : 2
Bettembourg
Page 1 of 2

Jeunesse Canach

(Away)
18 Sept
SC Ell
1 : 4
Jeunesse Canach
26 Jul
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 3
Ettelbruck
01 Jun
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
23 May
FC Mamer
0 : 0
Jeunesse Canach
17 May
Jeunesse Canach
0 : 5
Bissen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Union Titus Petange 2
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Troisvierges 0
Racing Luxembourg 11
FC Schengen 1
Differdange 5
FC Ehlerange 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Jeunesse Canach 4
Syra Mensdorf 1
FC Mamer 0
FF Norden 1
Luxembourg City 2
Avenir Beggen 3
Mondercange 2
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Fola 4
Echternach 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Rumelange 10
FC Munsbach 2
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Mertzig 0
Dudelange 5
Oberkorn 2
Esch 1
US Feulen 0
Hostert 1
Grevenmacher 2
Kaerjeng 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Hesperange 4
Erpeldange 1
Schifflange 3
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Wiltz 8
CS Sanem 2
Bettembourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Diekirch 0
Mondorf 6
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 4
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 6
Steinfort 1
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
Union Tetange 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 -
Blo Weiss Medernach -
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
AS Luxembourg/Porto 2
Victoria Rosport 5
Cebra 2
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Union Titus Petange -
Ettelbruck -
Racing Luxembourg -
Differdange -
FC Ehlerange -
Jeunesse Canach -
Syra Mensdorf -
Luxembourg City -
Avenir Beggen -
Fola -
Mertert/Wasserbillig -
Rumelange -
Alisontia Steinsel -
Dudelange -
Oberkorn -
Hostert -
Kaerjeng -
Hesperange -
Schifflange -
Wiltz -
CS Sanem -
FC Rodange 91 -
Lorentzweiler -
Mondorf -
Bissen -
Jeunesse Esch -
Jeunesse Junglinster -
FC Yellow Boys Weiler -
TBD -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
UNA Strassen -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
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