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FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Shakhter Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Bazarbaev A.
12'
Sub
Orazaly A. In: Gorizanov K.
Out: Orazaly A.
14' Event
Toleukhan A.
Assist: Tashpulatov D.

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between FC Ekibastuz and Kairat Almaty 2 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FC Ekibastuz
6%
Draws
90%
Kairat Almaty 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz haven't matched Kairat Almaty 2's recent run of results.
  • Kairat Almaty 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kairat Almaty 2 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ekibastuz Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.5 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:4
Jul 31, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:3
May 1, 2025 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
7:0
Aug 9, 2024 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:4
Jun 27, 2024 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasotin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorizanov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Toleukhan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murtaza I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ekibastuz Kairat Almaty 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

FC Ekibastuz's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kairat Almaty 2 conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: FC Ekibastuz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ekibastuz VS Kairat Almaty 2
1.5 Goals Scored 3.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaspij Aktau26222274:2768
2Ertis Pavlodar26194371:2061
3Altai26174554:2355
4Shakhter Karagandy26165561:3453
5Zhetisay261331044:3542
6Kairat Almaty 2261241058:4240
7Akademiya Ontustik261231144:4439
8Taraz261051143:3835
9AKAS261031342:3933
10FC Ekibastuz26841436:6028
11SD Family26721733:7523
12Khan Tengri26531827:5518
13Aktobe 226371634:6516
14Turkistan26232116:809