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FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Kerimkhan E.
Assist: Birkurmanov M.
30' Event
Petrik Y.
Assist: Nurgaliev A.
32' Event
Petrik Y.
Assist: Birkurmanov M.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between FC Ekibastuz and Kairat Almaty 2 finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FC Ekibastuz
6%
Draws
90%
Kairat Almaty 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kairat Almaty 2 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ekibastuz Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.5 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:4
Jul 31, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:3
May 1, 2025 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
7:0
Aug 9, 2024 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:4
Jun 27, 2024 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Demin I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rustamov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrik Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kerimkhan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ekibastuz Kairat Almaty 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

FC Ekibastuz scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Kairat Almaty 2 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: FC Ekibastuz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ekibastuz VS Kairat Almaty 2
1.5 Goals Scored 3.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 213112044:735
2Shakhter Karagandy13111136:534
3Turan1381425:1125
4FC Astana 21362524:2220
5Akademiya Ontustik1362519:1720
6Jaiyq1361611:1719
7Khan Tengri1352618:2517
8FC Ekibastuz1345417:2417
9Taraz1351719:1916
10Aktobe 21344526:3916
11Kaspij Aktau 21343616:2215
12Arys1331915:2810
13Tobol 21314821:387
14Yelimay Semey 21313910:276