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FC Ekibastuz vs Shakhtar Bulat Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Aymanov M.
55' Event
Sapargaliev A.
Own Goal
69' Event
Suslov D.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between FC Ekibastuz and Shakhtar Bulat finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Ekibastuz
15%
Draws
85%
Shakhtar Bulat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhtar Bulat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Ekibastuz come out ahead of Shakhtar Bulat on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shakhtar Bulat's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular First Division 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 18%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ekibastuz Shakhtar Bulat
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.98 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs FC Ekibastuz
2:2
Jul 9, 2022 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Shakhtar Bulat
2:2
Sep 27, 2021 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Shakhtar Bulat
3:1
Jun 13, 2021 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs FC Ekibastuz
1:2
Sep 16, 2020 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs FC Ekibastuz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Aymanov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suslov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Top Goalscorer Tutkyshev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ekibastuz 12 / 100
Shakhtar Bulat 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ekibastuz Shakhtar Bulat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Bulat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar Bulat has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

FC Ekibastuz scored in 78% of their last 40 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Shakhtar Bulat lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ekibastuz VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ekibastuz

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 8

Shakhtar Bulat

(Away)
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
28 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
0 : 1
Zhenis
22 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
16 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
2 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
09 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)