Sport Picks
FC Ekibastuz vs Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakhstan
First League 
AI Match Summary
FC Ekibastuz play Shakhter Karagandy in the First League. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Ekibastuz averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Shakhter Karagandy averaged 2.88 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, FC Ekibastuz won 0, Shakhter Karagandy won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for FC Ekibastuz and 2.25 for Shakhter Karagandy. This points to a Shakhter Karagandy double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Shakhter Karagandy has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Ekibastuz.
- Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Shakhter Karagandy.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in First League provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Ekibastuz | Shakhter Karagandy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Ekibastuz scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Shakhter Karagandy let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
FC Ekibastuz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Shakhter Karagandy lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 40:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Shakhter Karagandy | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 35:5 | 31 |
| 3 | Turan | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:10 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Astana 2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:20 | 20 |
| 5 | Akademiya Ontustik | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 6 | Khan Tengri | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 7 | FC Ekibastuz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Taraz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Jaiyq | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | 16 |
| 10 | Aktobe 2 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:37 | 13 |
| 11 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | 12 |
| 12 | Arys | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:27 | 7 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 21:37 | 7 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8:26 | 3 |