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FC Ekibastuz vs Shakhter Karagandy Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
FC Ekibastuz Logo

FC Ekibastuz

0 - 2
FT
Shakhter Karagandy Logo

Shakhter Karagandy

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ulshin A.
61' Event
Nurmugamet R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhter Karagandy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Ekibastuz
15%
Draws
85%
Shakhter Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shakhter Karagandy lately — more wins on the board than FC Ekibastuz.
  • Model gives Shakhter Karagandy a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shakhter Karagandy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ekibastuz Shakhter Karagandy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 24
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.31 2.76
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Shakhter Karagandy
0:2
Apr 17, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Ekibastuz
4:0
Aug 8, 2025 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Ekibastuz
4:0
May 9, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Shakhter Karagandy
2:2
Apr 24, 2009 Kazakhstan Cup
Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Ekibastuz
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shakhter Karagandy Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulshin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nurmugamet R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ekibastuz Shakhter Karagandy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Ekibastuz scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Shakhter Karagandy has conceded goals in 24% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Ekibastuz VS Shakhter Karagandy
1.63 Goals Scored 3.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ekibastuz

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
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Shakhter Karagandy

(Away)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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