Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Emmen vs Roda

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Kruiver J. In: van den Berg X.
Out: Kruiver J.
38'
Everink L.
46'
Sub
Van den Buijs D. In: Paulissen M.
Out: Van den Buijs D.

AI Match Summary

FC Emmen in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Emmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Emmen
15%
Draws
34%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Emmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Roda haven't matched FC Emmen's recent run of results.
  • FC Emmen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 68%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Emmen Roda
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Roda
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs FC Emmen
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Roda
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs FC Emmen
1:0
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Roda
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Quispel F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Roda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Emmen 50 / 100
Roda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Emmen Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EMMF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Roda conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

FC Emmen scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Roda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Emmen VS Roda
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Emmen

(Home)
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0
Roda
01 Aug
FC Emmen
4 : 0
Almere City
24 Jul
FC Emmen
0 : 3
Twente
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
11 Jul
Groningen
3 : 2
FC Emmen
Page 1 of 6

Roda

(Away)
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0
Roda
01 Aug
Roda
2 : 4
Alemannia Aachen
17 Jul
Roda
1 : 0
Beerschot VA
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1
Roda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Dordrecht 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Maastricht 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 NAC Breda 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 De Graafschap 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Helmond Sport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Almere City 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Waalwijk 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Eindhoven FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 FC Volendam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Jong PSV 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Jong AZ Alkmaar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Venlo 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
17 TOP Oss 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Jong Ajax 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
19 Jong Utrecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
20 Roda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)