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FC Emmen vs Roda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Kruiver J. In: van den Berg X.
Out: Kruiver J.
38'
Everink L.
46'
Sub
Van den Buijs D. In: Paulissen M.
Out: Van den Buijs D.

AI Match Summary

FC Emmen in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Emmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Emmen
30%
Draws
37%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Emmen at 1.52 per game, Roda at 1.5.
  • FC Emmen are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 14%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Emmen Roda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Roda
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs FC Emmen
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Roda
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs FC Emmen
1:0
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Roda
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Quispel F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Roda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Emmen 35 / 100
Roda 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Emmen Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Emmen found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Roda let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Emmen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Emmen VS Roda
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Emmen

(Home)
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Emmen
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
FC Emmen
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3
FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6

Roda

(Away)
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0
Roda
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0
Waalwijk
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0
Roda
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1
Roda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)