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FC Fassell vs BEA Mountain

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
FC Fassell Logo

FC Fassell

0 - 1
FT
BEA Mountain Logo

BEA Mountain

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BEA Mountain in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BEA Mountain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Fassell
20%
Draws
46%
BEA Mountain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Fassell haven't matched BEA Mountain's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FC Fassell Clean Sheet 10%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Fassell BEA Mountain
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.29 2.27
Goals Conceded 0.74 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 LFA First Division
FC Fassell vs BEA Mountain
0:1
Dec 11, 2025 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs FC Fassell
0:0
Feb 4, 2025 LFA First Division
FC Fassell vs BEA Mountain
3:2
Oct 16, 2024 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs FC Fassell
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Fassell 34 / 100
BEA Mountain 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Fassell BEA Mountain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: FC Fassell stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FC Fassell scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: BEA Mountain conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Fassell VS BEA Mountain
1.25 Goals Scored 3.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Fassell

(Home)
24 May
FC Fassell
3 : 2
Borough FC
13 May
FC Fassell
0 : 0
Watanga
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
25 Apr
FC Fassell
3 : 0
Gardnersville
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BEA Mountain

(Away)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)