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FC Fassell vs Gardnersville

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Fassell play Gardnersville in the LFA First Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Fassell averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Gardnersville averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, FC Fassell won 2, Gardnersville won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for FC Fassell and 1.13 for Gardnersville. This points to a FC Fassell double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FC Fassell
25%
Draws
25%
Gardnersville
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: FC Fassell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • FC Fassell picked up more points recently compared to Gardnersville.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
FC Fassell Clean Sheet 21%
Gardnersville Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Fassell Gardnersville
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 LFA First Division
FC Fassell vs Gardnersville
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 LFA First Division
Gardnersville vs FC Fassell
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Fassell 49 / 100
Gardnersville 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Fassell Gardnersville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Fassell or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Fassell attacking → ← attacking Gardnersville

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Fassell scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Gardnersville let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Fassell went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gardnersville lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 34
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Watanga26168240:2056
2BEA Mountain26157456:2252
3FC Fassell26138531:1747
4LPRC Oiler26118736:2941
5Liberia Registry26125931:3341
6Paynesville26108841:4238
7Discoveries2698931:2335
8Wologizi26971038:4034
9Heaven Eleven26711833:3532
10Borough FC26691133:4427
11Downtown26761332:4427
12Gardnersville26761336:5127
13Black Man Warrior26481416:2820
14Freeport26451738:6417
15Jubilee00000:00