Sport Picks

Liberia

LFA First Division 2024/2025

Mighty Barrolle

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Fassell play Mighty Barrolle in the LFA First Division 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Fassell averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. Mighty Barrolle averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, FC Fassell won 2, Mighty Barrolle won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 5, 2025 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for FC Fassell and 0.63 for Mighty Barrolle. This points to a FC Fassell double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

FC Fassell

15%

Draws

34%

Mighty Barrolle

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Fassell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

FC Fassell picked up more points recently compared to Mighty Barrolle.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 0.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

FC Fassell Clean Sheet 29%

Mighty Barrolle Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Fassell	Mighty Barrolle
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	20	11
Draws	10	5
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	1.64	1.6
Goals Conceded	0.82	2.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 LFA First Division

Mighty Barrolle vs FC Fassell

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

4:3

Dec 8, 2024 LFA First Division

FC Fassell vs Mighty Barrolle

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

6:0

May 31, 2017 LFA First Division

Mighty Barrolle vs FC Fassell

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Mar 12, 2017 LFA First Division

FC Fassell vs Mighty Barrolle

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Fassell Compare

Top Goalscorer Kollie D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sackor T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Mighty Barrolle Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Fassell 52 / 100

Mighty Barrolle 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Fassell Mighty Barrolle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Fassell or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Fassell attacking → ← attacking Mighty Barrolle

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Fassell scored in 74% of their last 39 games.

Mighty Barrolle let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

FC Fassell went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mighty Barrolle lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 38

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Fassell	26	17	5	4	57:21	56
2	Heaven Eleven	26	13	6	7	47:26	45
3	Watanga	26	10	10	6	33:24	40
4	Discoveries	26	11	6	9	47:38	39
5	BEA Mountain	26	10	7	9	50:45	37
6	Global Pharma	26	11	3	12	40:47	36
7	LPRC Oiler	26	9	8	9	31:30	35
8	Paynesville	26	10	5	11	33:40	35
9	Black Man Warrior	26	8	9	9	36:38	33
10	Liberia Registry	26	9	5	12	42:44	32
11	Freeport	26	8	7	11	37:51	31
12	Mighty Barrolle	26	8	5	13	38:65	29
13	Shaita	26	6	9	11	40:47	27
14	Invincible Eleven	26	5	9	12	29:44	24