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FC Felgueiras U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Sauane L.
35' Event
Pinto H.
53' Event
Machado T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Next Gen U23 game between FC Felgueiras U23 and Estrela da Amadora U23 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Felgueiras U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FC Felgueiras U23
35%
Draws
20%
Estrela da Amadora U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Felgueiras U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estrela da Amadora U23 come out ahead of FC Felgueiras U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Felgueiras U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Felgueiras U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela da Amadora U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Felgueiras U23 Estrela da Amadora U23
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
FC Felgueiras U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Felgueiras U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Machado T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Estrela da Amadora U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sauane L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Felgueiras U23 85 / 100
Estrela da Amadora U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Felgueiras U23 Estrela da Amadora U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Felgueiras U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Felgueiras U23 scored in 86% of their last 7 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Felgueiras U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Estrela da Amadora U23 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Felgueiras U23 VS Estrela da Amadora U23
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Felgueiras U23

(Home)
06 Oct
FC Felgueiras U23
3 : 1
Estrela da Amadora U23
29 Sept
Santa Clara U23
2 : 2
FC Felgueiras U23
20 Sept
Maritimo U23
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras U23
08 Sept
Portimonense U23
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras U23
01 Sept
FC Felgueiras U23
2 : 2
Estoril U23
Page 1 of 2

Estrela da Amadora U23

(Away)
06 Oct
FC Felgueiras U23
3 : 1
Estrela da Amadora U23
19 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 2
Moreirense U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2
Sporting CP U23
25 Aug
Maritimo U23
0 : 0
Estrela da Amadora U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)